Here we go again:
Lets light up towers and express our shock, horror and solidarity with the people of _________
Can we please abandon the notion that something illogical or surprising is happening? The fact is that more Manchester-style attacks are inevitable. They have to given the current Western paradigms on migration and Open Borders.
The root of the Homegrown Terrorism Problem:
The spread of Islamic extremism to Europe, along with the inner-connected migration crisis, is largely a socio-economic problem. The top 10% socio-economically in terms of status, wealth, power and opportunities do not permanently migrate from countries like Tunisia, Libya, Syria, Afghanistan etc. And they are VIRTUALLY NEVER the people who end up committing attacks in the West or in the Middle East.
It’s the same pattern over and over and over:
Homegrown terrorists in the West are virtually always from lower socio-economic backgrounds. Not the poorest of the poor of course.
But for whatever reason, they are people (or the kids of those people) unhappy with the local status quo back home, so they go to Europe and the US.
Many do well and contribute and fully assimilate.
However, a meaningful portion will not succeed in their new society socio-economically because they don’t have the skills needed to compete in more competitive economies. Of that group, a small portion will embrace the anti-establishment message of militant Islamism to justify their situations. Virtually every European and American home-grown Jihadist who is a 1st or 2nd generation migrant from a Middle Eastern country falls into this category.
How to Productively Adjust The Paradigm?
The long-term policy takeaway should be that there is an urgent need for Western policy makers to create a more sustainable long-term economic divide between the Developing and Developed world. So that the overwhelming majority of people are content back home in the Middle East and feel no desire to permanently migrate to the West.
On this note, I recommend this important article by Ursula Lindsey about one policy idea that helps do that:
And then I encourage readers to check out my article from the same publication last year –
Another complementary focus should be on Promoting Lower Tech Entrepreneurship:
Nobody ever knows what the future holds. But there is every reason to believe that this problem is going to get far worse. The only options are to continue to express solidarity every time these attacks happen, or have serious discussions about paradigm shifts. Now, or after 10, 15, 25 more attacks occur.